Monday, May 22, 2017

Only in Socorro: The Campaign Edition

Come on El Paso, did you really think your mayoral election could out-Socorro Socorro?

Don't be silly, Socorro is still the pound-for-pound champ of crazy.

They are the Floyd Mayweather of cray-cray.

They have a special election for mayor coming up because City Representative Maria Reyes decided to put the city of Socorro in a terrible legal position by having a shady back-room deal to railroad the Mayor Gloria Rodriguez out of her seat.

Now get a load of this.

The former municipal judge of Socorro is now running for mayor. Her name is "Elia" Garcia. No, I don't know why she always puts it in quotes, but she actually wants to be known by as Judge Garcia. No, she wasn't elected to the position and no, she's not the judge now.

And wait til ya find out why.

Because she was trying to get a shit ton more money out of tax payers in Socorro. As much crap as I talk about Socorro city government, one thing I am pretty sensitive to is the fact that the people of Socorro have been screwed over for years by bad leadership.

People that have taking advantage of them for generations.

It bothers the shit out of me.
Not really a judge in Socorro. She's a judge in Clint.
So what happened with Elia Garcia is that she had been hired as the municipal judge in Socorro, meaning she heard traffic tickets for the municipality. Its meant to be a part-time gig. Socorro has had a lot of drama with their municipal judges. Talk about a kangaroo court - since there wasn't even a requirement that the judge be an attorney, City Rep Maria Reyes' brother was the judge.

Eventually the Gandara got some guy in that was a protege of Elliot Shapleigh and he had at least gone to law school. But that vato couldn't pass the bar.

Eventually the last council made it a requirement that a) you must have gone to law school and b) you must have actually passed the bar. Which is how they ended up with Elia Garcia as the judge. She was a baby lawyer and had actually passed the bar.

Socorro has finally got it right and their current judge, who is another attorney, actually went to law school, passed the bar exam, and is experienced.

At some point while she was still Elia Garcia had it in her head that the tax payers of Socorro needed to pay her even more for her part-time traffic-court judge position in a municipality that is only 32,000 people so she tried to get more money out of the city for the position.

We are talking a HUGE increase in pay she was going after. Guess who would pay for that big pay increase? The tax payers of Socorro.

So they would have to make a cut somewhere else or raise taxes on the community to pay for Elia Garcia's pay raise.

That is why I found the two screen shots so interesting. I mean on the one hand she's making honesty her calling card but she's referring to herself as a judge when she's not one. Not the biggest thing in the world under most circumstances, but in a place like Socorro where they are pretty sensitive about being lied to by candidates, it has the potential to blow up in her face.

Now she wants to be the mayor of Socorro. Obviously that raises a lot of questions.

For me, the biggest question is why she would want to draw attention to her time as the judge in Socorro.

This is the kind of thing that really drives voters nuts. She's on the one hand saying that she saved tax payers money, but what she fails to mention is that she's no longer the judge because she wanted a fat raise that would've mean either cuts or a tax increase to pay for and council said thanks but no thanks.

You can't claim you're saving some unspecified amount of tax dollars and at the same time be the person who was asking tax payers to foot the bill for your tax-payer funded raise!

Sunday, May 21, 2017

A Higher Standard?

Jaime Barceleau is a man with a lot of personal flaws. Seriously flaws that should make him the last person to run for office and use words like "trust" and "accountability" and "confidence" and I could go on and on all day.

He send out this mailer to voters.

He should stop saying this shit.

He doesn't hold himself to a higher standard and he should stop saying that because it isn't true.

Or he should clarify what that standard is because I have a whole lot of one-liners for that guy!

Oh yeah...

Friday, May 19, 2017

David Karlsruher...All in for Family Friend Tolbert

I seriously doubt that David Karlsruher is doing all of this denial of a criminal investigation of Jim Tolbert because he's stupid. I mean its possible, but I don't think that is why.

I think he's just lying because Tolbert is a family friend.

And he's lying a lot.

And he has been for a long time.

So first of all, David K says there's no investigation of his close family friend.

He even goes so far as to say that the DPS told him that they never sent out a press release about an investigation of Tolbert.

He also says that only the El Paso Times has even reported it.

So here is the press release he says doesn't exist.

It says there is an investigation.

Its from the DPS.

And you can see the time, date, and email addresses it was sent to. Feel free to look through it, its every media outlet in town.

"Mind you" David K said this press release didn't exist. He said DPS told him there was no investigation yet here is the press release from the DPS stating there is. He said only the Times reported it and no one else in the media got it.

David Karlsruher is clearly lying.


For his family friend.

Undervote Rumor Clarified

Apparently there is a rumor going around, allegedly from a particular source that I haven't been independently able to confirm yet that has been telling people that the Texas Democratic Party Chairman has said that it is not okay to undervote in the upcoming election.

This became such a thing that the Paso Del Norte Tejano Democrats Chairman Eddie Holguin reached out to the State Chairman to ask him if that was the case.

In his emailed response, Chairman Hinojosa very clearly states, "Eddie, the Texas Democratic Party never encourages Democratic voters to vote for Republicans - and never will."

Later Chairman Hinojosa also states, "If voters want to go to the polls and vote on any of the other contested elections on the ballot they should be encouraged to do so. If they don't want to vote for any of the mayoral candidates then they should skip that position on the ballot or vote a write-in name."

So for those of you in the Party that are being told that the TDP doesn't want you to undervote, here is clarification from the Chairman of the Party himself.

Duranguito Wasn't Important to Voters

I've said this and predictably it pissed some people off.

But its true, don't get mad at me just because it happens to be the truth. I know, the small but loud minority of people that have been ringing the cowbell about Duranguito and following around an extreme right-wing conservative like Max Grossman would have you believe that the electorate is really pissed that the arena is in Duranguito, that they are so mad that they want to put it on the ballot again and that we should hire Joyce Wilson again, just so we can fire her.

But they aren't. They voted in big numbers for candidates that are in favor of putting the arena in Duranguito. Thats got to piss off poor Maxie.


Here is the best way to underscore the point I was making about how the voters clearly didn't give a damn about the arena issue.

Lets see how Duranguito and Segundo Barrio voted on the issue. They vote in precinct 37 at the Armijo Center. That is in the heart of Segundo Barrio.  Lets start with the premise that the people who are against the arena would be voting for someone who has expressed opposition to the arena. Of the three top candidates, that would be David Saucedo. Margo and Acosta were for the arena.

So lets look at the numbers. First, as you can see by the color code of the precinct, the precinct is colored light green, which means it went for David Saucedo.

At first, that might make you think that indicates that since Saucedo is allegedly against the location that those voters were inline with Saucedo's position. But if you look closer at the figures in the black box, you'll see that Saved actually only narrowly pulled out a plurality.

Saucedo 31
Acosta 30
Margo 29

So even in the precinct in which Duranguito resides, Saucedo was only able to carry it by one vote.


I'm not making that up, he won by one vote.

And when you calculate how many votes the other two candidates who are for the Duranguito site, Saucedo struggled to get half of the votes that went to other candidates.

What does that mean?

It means that voters in the district in which Durganguito exists gave nearly twice as many votes to the candidates that were for the arena in the current location than the candidate that wants to "Save Duranguito".

Now before anyone tries to spin the data, that precinct is a 100% barrio precinct. Its not mixed in with anything that would dilute the support of the Save Duranguito people. In short, its a precinct that should've gone for Saucedo like gang busters.

If even Segundo Barrio turned out 2-1 against Saucedo, he's in real trouble. Especially because he hasn't dropped mail, Margo is making it rain and now there is a Margo TV buy...

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Lies Are Told on the Internet...

You survived the last presidential campaign cycle, so you already knew that.

But I've now seen a pretty funny meme floating around Al Gore's invention that is funny - but mostly because when you see people share it, you immediately know who is stupid, or just lying.

For those of you needing a little refreshing of the memory - Tolbert's campaign team has been going around telling people that there's no investigation of Jim Tolbert going on. So someone actually created a meme stating that says in part, "there is no verifiable proof that Jim Tolbert is under investigation".

Except that there is.

Here's a link to the story that was done on the topic at the El Paso Times. Here's also a screen shot.

Pay close attention to what I have highlighted.

"The Texas Rangers have begun a formal investigation and there are no further details available at this time." - Lt. Elizabeth Carter, Department of Public Safety

Now Tolbert's campaign team has made Tolbert look like the Trump Administration. In fact, had you put some quotes around the text of the meme, I would've thought it was Trump's twitter feed. 

Here's the meme that is going around:

I guess a Lt from a law enforcement agency stating that there is an investigation going on isn't "verifiable proof" that Tolbert is under investigation.

Now that I think about it, that would've made a great quote for a mailer or walk lit against Tolbert.

D8: The Candidates

If you missed the District 8 forum on KTSM you missed pretty much the only time you'll get to see the candidates that are vying to replace City Rep Cortney Niland.

Here's a quick run-down of the candidates:

Trini Acevedo - Smart guy - but doesn't have a serious chance of winning. He's from Segundo Barrio and is a Bowie grad. He seems to be a nice guy and really focused on what he believes is right, but he doesn't have experience, money, infrastructure, etc to be able to be a contender.

Robert Cormell - He ran for mayor last time and was a surprising contender. Did better than a lot of people expected him to. He's a Republican, but that isn't a problem in D8. He's a business owner, has money, and has already dropped mail. He looks and sounds like a city rep. He is one of the major candidates and as long as he can ease up on the Jesus, he is likely going to end being in the run-off.

Cissy Lizarraga - The only female in the field of candidates and she has resources and a field game. She has good, clean lit and has a strong command of the issues. She has a chance of making the run-off if she can execute in the short period of time that she has. The concern is whether her field game can get the job done, she's using Chris Hernandez who already has a mayors race and three, possibly four other clients in the same election. But her message is solid and if her mail lands when it is supposed to, she can make up for a vulnerable field game. She has a real good shot at making the run-off and if she does't, it will be because of a failure in field.

Adolfo Lopez - Strongest command of the issues of any of the candidates. Smart guy. Dynamic and extremely likable. He was able to quote several studies about economic development and the downtown area, chapter and verse. He's a Forma candidate and whether or not he can get money flowing to get mail in mailboxes is going to be the unknown. If he can make that happen, he's going to duke it out with Lizarraga and Cormell for the run-off.

Gilbert Guillen - He started the earliest and has probably walked the most. Honestly, he's the guy I find the most likable. He sat down and visited with me to talk about some questions I had. I admire that because he knew I disagreed with him, but he still wanted to make sure I fully understand his position. His problem as a candidate is this - he's a one-trick pony. He speaks only about Durganguito and NOTHING else. If you look at the election results, Duranguito clearly wasn't the issue that drove people to the polls. Segundo Barrio, Chihuahuita, Duranguito, etc don't belong in D8. They aren't communities of interest with the westside. But until that changes, Guillen's message is tone-deaf to the rest of the district.

Bottom line I think you'll see two of either Lopez, Lizarraga, or Comell in the run-off.

Pearson's Priorities

I'm helping a candidate in the Hanks area, Cruz Ochoa, try to get elected as the trustee in the area so in full disclosure, I'm totally biased in this one.

He's running against Trustee Paul Pearson who has wasted a lot of tax payer money on dumb stuff like paying lawyers to fight efforts to make the school boards more transparent about their finances and paying for frivolous law suits to prevent some retired teachers from getting pay that was owed them.

But as much as that stuff bothers me from a policy stand point, I'm most annoyed at something that is a pretty stupid self-inflicted wound.

Its Pearson's misplaced priorities. The guy seems more preoccupied with Eastwood than he does his own area. But if the guy wants to represent Hanks and coach at Eastwood and his constituents don't have a problem with it, so be it.

But here's what I do have a problem with - taking off early in a school board meeting so that he can go see Phantom of the Opera.

I'm not making that up. The guy is in a run-off race and thinks its a good idea to leave a meeting EXTREMELY early so that he can go catch a show.

Don't believe me?

Okay, well here's a selfie he posted on his own Facebook page. Take note of the date and time.

Another example of an elected official and a self-inflicted political wound.

But more importantly, its an example of misplaced priorities.

There was a budget vote on the agenda, which he stayed long enough for, but the message he is sending the Hanks community is that whatever else was discussed was apparently not as important to him as catching a play downtown.

Barceleau Wanted Questions in Advance

Remember I told you that temperament was going to be a big issue? Well I've got a side story for you before I go on.

Former State Rep Marisa Marquez used to pull this shit and I hated it and never let her get away with it. When I interviewed her she always wanted to know in advance what I was going to ask her. Look, if you're a candidate you either do an interview or you don't - but don't try to play that bullshit.

Well Barceleau has taken his douchedom to an even more extreme level. Turns out the reason Barceleau was a No Shoeau at the KCOS debate was because he asked for the questions in advance and since he didn't have them, he didn't want to do the debate.

What kind of chicken shit is that? Who does he think he is, Hillary Clinton?

Where did I get that little nugget of information from?

From the debate moderator himself, David Crowder.

Take a look at this post from Facebook:

Cassandra Brown is no fiery or articulate debater. It appears to be her weakest area, so you'd think a guy like Barceleau would be licking his chops to be on TV against a candidate who is a weak debater.

And frankly, if the story was that Barceleau was a no-shoeau because he was out campaigning instead, then I would a) find it more believable and b) respect the campaign strategy.

But wanting the questions in advance and then blowing it off goes to his temperament.

And temperament is really important especially with the current make-up of council. You have a council who wouldn't sit next to one another, goes on morning FM radio shows to bash their colleagues, yells at people, etc...and that was just Cortney Niland.

Jim Tolbert calls constituents assholes and allegedly breaks the TOMA because he's allegedly upset that another member of council hasn't been kissing Duranguito ass as much as he has and was included in the meeting more than he was...allegedly.

Emma Acosta targets members of the community critical of her.

Mike Noe is apparently the world's oldest middle-schooler and trolls his colleague with his SnapChat name.

So having even-handed, grounded, and mentally stable members of council is pretty damn important to this community. Barceleau - with his previous "nobody asked you sir" remark and now demanding questions in advance shows he's got a temper problem like Jim Tolbert.

Imagine Barceleau's temper on council, along with Sam Morgan's temper problems he's shown with his inability to rationally deal with the media asking a routine question, and Jim Tolbert all on council at the same time.

Now imagine the Brown Trump, David Saucedo, as the ring leader...

Yeah, imagine that is who will represent you and your city...

Also, have you seen this video yet?

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Barceleau a No Shoeau

Jaime Barceleau was a no show last night at the KCOS debate taping.

First, I don't blame any candidate that would rather campaign right now than debate. There's no benefit to it - unless its on TV. If I were Margo, I'd be chomping at the bit to take Saucedo into the deep end of the policy pool and drown him. Saucedo is like a fighter (just kidding, he's not like one at all) that is behind on points and his only hope is haymakers. Thats why he's turned into the brown Trump.

Or slightly less orange Trump. Whatever.

Anywho, the difference between Captain Freedom Fence and Barceleau is that Jaime had originally committed to attending the debate. But come debate time, Barceleau was a no shoeau.

Sources indicate that both he and his spouse were called but no one answered.

Must've gotten cold feet. A constituent called him out a couple days before about something that happened several years ago at a forum recently and I think it shook him up.

Which reminds me, I haven't posted this video in a few days.

My bad.

District 8 Candidate Forum on KTSM Tonight

I know I really haven't given much love to the district 8 race, but tonight is probably your best chance to hear the candidates before their inevitable run-off election.

KTSM will be doing another of their FB live debates, so find their FB page and it should give you details of the particulars.

I haven't heard anything from the candidates because I live in the Lower Valley, but I am interested in what the next city council will look like so I'll be tuning it.

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Why Democrats Should Undervote in the Mayoral Run-off

As I have said a while back, the bad thing about this election for mayor is that someone has to win and for El Paso, thats a bad thing.

As I have said before, neither candidate is someone I feel good about voting for. Now as I have said before I have voted for a Republican previously. It was a judicial race and I feel okay with it because the guy was just a better choice and the Democrat in that race was Manny Barraza. I don't like the idea of electing judges in the first place but that is the system we have in Texas.

But the mayoral position is a policy position. Party affiliation is about values, priorities, and governing styles. If you won't vote for a Republican in a policy position like commissioners court, state rep, congress or basically any other policy-making elected position, why on earth would you not be concerned about party when it comes to local policy?

That is why I am urging people to truly express their feelings about the field of candidates. We don't have to accept a crappy field of candidates. We don't have to be okay with candidates that would be considered weak even if it was a school board race. We don't have to accept mediocrity from candidates.

Not only do we not have to accept a crappy field, we shouldn't. When we do so, with low voter participation and making a binary choice, we are sending the message that we are okay with whatever terrible or unworthy candidate wants to put their name on the ballot. We have the ability to send a message that we reject the slate of candidates on the ballot.

We can undervote.

An undervote is when you go into the ballot booth and choose to not accept either candidate. You can just skip the mayor's race and vote in the judicial races. There are plenty of down-ballot races you can vote in.

Undervoting is a much different action than not voting. Let me be clear about that. The easy thing to do is to not vote, and with record-low voter turnout, it is likely a reflection of the fact that no one liked the field of candidates. Staying at home and not going to the polls is what most people have done in El Paso elections and with the really low talent in the mayoral race, its easy to see why.

But the undervote sends a louder message. Its not encouraging people to stay home. Its actually quite the opposite. Going through the trouble of going to the polls and not selecting either candidate sends a strong message. Its saying you reject the final option of having to choose between two candidates that are wrong for El Paso.

Especially if you're a Democrat, and frankly, especially if you're raza. I truly believe in the values of my Party. I believe in the policy priorities my Party stands for and they don't go away just because I am left with the choice of having to choose the lesser of two evils. I don't just dust off some slogans from the Democratic Party every four years during a presidential.

As the presidential race has shown, choosing between the lesser of two evils has real world consequences.

I'm most especially talking to you older voters that don't like Dee Margo, mostly because he's white. I get it, it was a lot harder for you back in the day and Dee Margo looks and sounds like the face of all those people who wouldn't hire you, payed you a low wage, talked about you like you weren't there right in front of them, were condescending, promoted other less-qualified people over you because you weren't the right color, threw their money around etc.

I completely understand that. Trust me, I do.

But voting for Saucedo because of what Margo represents to you isn't any better. Saucedo is a brown Trump, and its worse because he's raza.

Undervoting won't prevent either of these terrible candidates from winning, but it does send a message when they have a really high undervote that even when there is historically low voter participation, that even the people that actually did go out to vote didn't vote for them.

Trust me, elected officials pay attention to the undervote. It is a slap in the face to them. It says that for whatever reason a voter went out to the polls, voting in other races and then skipped voting for them.

So if you truly believe in the values of our Party, of a fair wage for working families, equal pay for women, access to affordable healthcare and better education, investment in people and programs, and most importantly in a border community, comprehensive immigration reform - then you can't vote for either candidate. These are issues and values that aren't just for presidential years. They are issues that affect American families and El Pasoans every single day, not just empty platitudes.

And most especially don't vote for a Tio Taco who is banking on people voting for him because he's brown after having invited not only an anti-immigrant like Lou Holtz, but even Donald Trump to this community. I know some of you think, well he's better than voting for Dee Margo, porque es mexicano.

Well he's not better, and in many ways he's much worse. I'll get into that in another post, but the short of it is when you have one of our own advocating for bad border policy its worse than when Margo does.

If you vote straight ticket because you believe in the values of the Party, then you have a moral obligation to undervote in the mayoral race.

Send the right message. Do the right thing. Undervote.

Saturday, May 13, 2017

Ruh-roh Max

Looks like Max Grossman found out he can't charge the public for shit they already own.


Friday, May 12, 2017

Max Grossman & The Election

Well its been a while since I've mentioned ol' Maxie but I'd be remiss if I didn't point out the fact that he was a miserable failure at trying to influence the outcome of this election.

He berated and bullied a few candidates into adopting his positions, or at least attempted to do so with others, then was a failure at getting his agenda across.

Dee Margo supports the downtown arena and went into the run-off with the most votes by a huge margin.

Jim Tolbert and Alexsandra Annello were both against the arena, but only one of them isn't being investigated by the Texas Rangers for being part of a shady meeting to hammer out an 11th hour deal on the issue. So that is a wash.

In D3 - BOTH the candidates that made the run-off were in favor of the downtown arena and actually made it a part of their campaign message.

In D4 - Morgan changed his position on eminent domain a couple of times and eventually landed on being against the downtown arena. Haggerty sounds like he's kinda for it being downtown but mostly focuses on the fact that it can't be moved to Cohen and talks more about what to do with Cohen stadium.

The point is, for all the noise that has been made about the election it turned out to be a non-issue.

Max likes to play on FB all day long and I think he learned a valuable lesson that many of us have been saying for can't Facebook your way to a campaign victory.

Grossman's Gross Hypocrisy

So here's something fun to think about, especially for policy makers at the city.

Max Grossman is advocating for legal action against the city because of Duranguito but is using influence with the historic preservation office to gain access to the City Fire Stations,


Don't believe me...check out this announcement on Facebook:

D8 Race Analysis

Let me start off with a question that has been bothering me. I only know about Gilbert Guillen from the context of the Duranguito conversation - which turned out to be a non-issue to voters and if you don't believe me, just look at the results of the election.

I heard there was only one property owner than hasn't signed on the dotted line for the arena yet, but I noticed that the name isn't Gilbert Guillen. So since I only know of him because of the Duranguito thing I'm wondering if he his the lone hold out that hasn't signed with the city yet.

Since that is what he has become most notable for as it relates to a bid to replace the controversial Cortney Niland I think the public needs to know one thing...

Has he sold-out, or is he the hold-out?

That being said, lets move on.

The race has a few interesting candidates. Guillen for obvious reasons is one of the more notable candidates and got off to an early start. The other notables in the race are Robert Cormell who previously ran for mayor, Cissy Lizarraga who is the wife of District Court Judge Marcos Lizarraga, and former state rep candidate Adolfo Lopez.

For bilingually impaired media folks, the name is pronounced Lee-SAH-rra-guh. That names kicks everyone's ass on TV, so consider this my good deed for the day.

Cormell has already dropped mail. He is a religious conservative but has been on the ballot before and if he can keep down the Jesus, he is likely to appeal to a lot of voters on the westside.

Lizarraga is wealthy and they have lived on the westside for a long time so they are well-known and Cissy is smart, classy, and has a strong grasp of issues. She's more popular than her spouse.

Adolfo Lopez is really likable and very bright. He was Forma's candidate to replace Marisa Marquez in the legislature. He didn't win but a big chunk of the district has had his mail in their mailboxes not too long ago. He'd be great on council but the question for him is if Forma is going to help him in the race. They have their hands full trying to win a mayoral race right now, which they really need to win so that they can regain a little of their credibility back after that disaster of switching candidates DURING a campaign cycle from one camp to another in the Svarzbein race.

Guillen has to find a way to appeal to voters other than those in Segundo Barrio. I know there are a lot of raza that get annoyed when I say this, but in terms of elections Segundo Barrio has no weight at all. There aren't a lot of voters there and you can pretty much add up the total number of votes in all the segundo precincts and that is probably equal to just one precinct on the westside.

Segundo really needs to be in another district.

If Guillen were the only Latino in the race he'd stand a much better chance. But right now it looks like a run-off between Cormell and Lizarraga - unless Guillen or Lopez gets some money behind them quickly.

I will say this - and it is of almost no consequence but its something I pay attention to - Lizarraga and Guillen have the best signs. The old-school big G with the names is cool even though the colors suck, but Lizarraga's logo is clean, unique, and stands out. Its hands down the best logo of the run-off and D8 cycle.

Election Analysis: D4

The northeast seat has been pretty quiet in the first round of elections - uncharacteristically so. Normally anything having to do with the northeast part of town and politics is a lot of drama featuring El Paso's most diverse community.

But don't expect that to stay the same. Expect things to get heated and expect it to come from Sam Morgan based on his behavior in the race so far.

Sam Morgan went into the run-off with 42% of the vote. I expected him up around 48% of the vote because the district has seen his name on the ballot before, he came within a few votes of winning previously and was so close to winning that he asked for a recount.

So he is sorta the incumbent. He went through the trouble of cutting his hair - and made a public spectacle of it - because he felt like a few votes didn't go his way last time because of his dreds.

But lets keep this in perspective, Sam Morgan was in a run-off with an incumbent and managed to lose! That almost never happens. When and incumbent in El Paso is in a run-off election, they are almost always toast. He was a younger and more progressive candidate running against a much older candidate in Representative Carl Robinson who was also pretty unpopular - and managed to lose that run-off election.

He's facing Shane Haggerty who comes from a prominent family that are basically all Democrats now with the exception of Andrew Haggerty. Haggerty has only been on the ballot in a small portion of the northeast - the Parkland area that he represents on the YISD Board of Trustees.

From what I understand, he sent no mail in the first round and had only a small about of support from the unions. Now the unions, especially the fire fighter's union, are coming in big for Haggerty. He may have been sparing some powder in his musket for the run-off election so it wouldn't surprise me if he all of a sudden started hitting mail boxes and doors in this round of elections.

The challenge for Haggerty is can he get voters to vote for him in the areas of the district that don't know him yet. If the election were about qualifications, then Haggerty would've won in the first election without a run-off, but they aren't.

On paper Haggerty would be the easy choice. He was the only candidate that has ever managed a multi-million dollar budget paid for by tax payers. Morgan I believe is on an advisory board for the EPISD bond, but its advisory and doesn't actually touch any money. Haggerty is the only candidate that has secured millions of dollars in infrastructure for the northeast - something the city rep hasn't done - and Morgan hasn't. In an era where people don't trust government Haggerty is the only candidate that has actually made government more transparent.

Morgan is a Green Beret, Special Forces veteran of over 20 years in the Army. The guy has more medals than Patton. A real life Rambo. Very well respected in the veteran community and there are a lot of veterans in the northeast.

Haggerty is a retired fire fighter of over 20 years. So you've got two guys that have made a career of putting their lives on the line for their community both vying to represent the northeast. Frankly, that should make the northeast very proud.

Its not that Morgan isn't qualified, its just that Haggerty is so much more qualified than Morgan. If you listen to Morgan himself, he has said one of his biggest contributions to the Northeast was getting the once-dormant Northeast Democrats started again. At most they have 50 members. And he speaks a lot about a book her wrote on leadership.

That doesn't compare too well with $60 million in upgrades in the Parkland area, new scoreboards at the high school, ensuring teachers got fair pay, passing a bond, and balancing a budget in which YISD was the lowest tax rate entity over most of his tenure at the District.

Where Sam has the advantage is the solidarity of the African-American vote and being known across the district. Haggerty has to get voters across the district to know who he is and he only has a short time to do so, which will require a lot of muscle to get it done.

Morgan's weakness is two-fold. One, its his demeanor. At a time when council has been plagued with personality problems, people who can't get along with one another and city reps that lose their temper, Morgan has already demonstrated that issue. There are reps being investigated for not following the rules when it comes to transparency and Morgan allegedly hasn't followed rules about campaign finances and then didn't want to answer questions about it when asked by the El Paso Times.

His other weakness is field. His field guy is working several other campaigns. You can't afford to have a field person that isn't 100% focused on you when the chips are down like they are in a run-off.

Morgan still has a lot of advantages in this race, but its not in the bag for him like he might believe it is judging by his statements on Election Night.

This race will likely be the closest of them all on election night.

Thursday, May 11, 2017

Saucedo Lands Cager Support

Just a few minutes ago Republican candidate for mayor David Saucedo took this pic with Willie Cager.

I'm expecting a full press conference on this later this afternoon with Saucedo declaring he was the reason they won the championship and then expose a kick-back scandal involving soccer moms running illegal fundraisers from the concession stands at games.

But hey, if everything stays true to form for Saucedo...

The rest of the team will then turn around and endorse Margo.

Oh wait, the current coach of the Miners has already given him money...

Somebody Save Saucedo...

Save him from himself, his advisors, his team, his ego, or whatever it is that made this guy think coming up with an outlandish conspiracy theory was going to be a smart campaign move.

Seriously, even David K doesn't come up with conspiracies this stupid.

Just kidding, he does. Hell it was probably David K's idea. Word on the street is that the two Republicans hang out and make matching tin foil hats at Morris Pittle's Jew Boy Burger joint in Austin.

Anywho, Saucedo makes a stupid claim, can't or won't back it up, and manages to unit basically the entire city council against him.

Exactly how bad did Saucedo screw up? He had the last remaining members of council still under the cloud of the Texas Rangers investigation - and the two members of council most opposed to the border wall and GOP's stance on immigration - Svarzbein and Tolbert, endorse Margo.

So there's a lot to take in with this particular debacle so lets break it down. Saucedo realizes he's gotta do something to change the game now that he is in the run-off. Most rational people would sit down, do election analysis, methodically plan a strategy, perhaps even reach out to other candidates that have won a run-off and talk to them about what they did to win, etc.

Nope, not Team Douchebag. They decide fuck it, lets go on ABC 7 Xtra with absolutely no plan and say some dumb shit to get attention.

He and his campaign team have slowly morphed into the brown Trump and his team - complete with surrogates that say dumb shit like Sean Spicer and Kelly Ann Conway. These are the same genius that never thought it was a good idea to get him to shave that beard, get a haircut, and perhaps ease up on the manteca in his hair.

Saucedo made a series of outlandish claims that disparage the employees of the City of El Paso and then seemed shocked that members of council like Mayor Leeser, Rep Ordaz, Rep Noe, and others came to their defense? It shows how completely sheltered, inexperienced, and out of touch he is.

But it also shows Saucedo is a massive hypocrite. You see all of those people that are in departments that issue permits, conduct inspections, or issue citations - that Saucedo accuses of committing crimes like bribery and extortion - all answer to one man...

City Manager Tommy Gonzalez.

Okay, all the candidates for mayor that want to hold the city manager accountable please take one step forward.

Nope! Not so fast Saucedo...get your over-privileged, blue-blood, born-with-every-advantage ass back in line.

Yeah, for all the conspiracies that Saucedo said has been happening for years ONLY David Saucedo actually went to council to ADVOCATE for Gonzalez's raise. The very guy allegedly allowing this alleged crime spree and Saucedo insults the staff and advocates a raise for their boss.

Trump had a better nonsensical explanation of firing the FBI director than Saucedo's claims.

I think I'm gonna start taking bets on the over-under of when Saucedo's hands start to shrink and he uses the word "bigly".


If He Feels That Strongly...

So this is something the media should be asking of Saucedo. If he REALLY feels like Jim Tolbert, Mayor Leeser, Cortney Niland and the rest of the members of council under the Texas Rangers investigation are part of the "cabal" at city council - and he is REALLY that much against the "status quo" ...

Then why does he have his two main campaign consultants still on staff?

Chris Hernandez and Jeremy Jordan are both former city staffers. Hernandez was a staffer for Tolbert until he resigned in order to run Saucedo's campaign and Jeremy Jordan was a staffer for Cortney Niland until he was arrested for a domestic violence incident involving his ex-wife, which was ultimately dismissed.

And Hernandez - in a bit of irony that sounds too comical to be true - is also running ... you guessed it, Jim Tolbert's campaign in addition to running Saucedo's.

It is the height of all things hypocritical to point the finger at people like Ordaz - who unlike Saucedo has solid support in her district winning every precinct in her district in the last election - who actually tried to hold the city manager accountable while Saucedo as advocating for his raise, and calling members of council like Niland and Tolbert a "cabal" and having their staffers as his campaign staff.

One last thing...doesn't Saucedo take issue with the fact that of the three city rep races in a run-off, all of which have a candidate being managed by Saucedo's campaign staffer Chris Hernandez, that two of the three have endorsed Dee Margo? I mean the guy Saucedo is paying to run his campaign is running three other campaigns and two of the three are endorsing Margo?

Ya know with all this talk of loyalty contracts, you'd think the one who really needs one would be The Sauce!

Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Election Analysis: D3

Jaime Barceleau had a huge edge in spending. Big-time lead in money.

And he still came in second.

No matter how you look at it, Barceleau is in trouble. I know, I joked that he wouldn't even make the run-off because I knew he was going to have a hard time getting voters to support him.

Now the choice is between Barceleau and a younger progressive female candidate. Guess who El Pasoans vote for almost always when given the choice?

Barceleau is really in trouble because no one around him has told him he doesn't know shit about campaigning. I heard he had the same problem during the EPISD election in which Jaime is actually proud of the fact that he raised your taxes BIGLY in the bond election. Multiple sources in that campaign told me how much of a pain in the ass he was and how he kept coming up with terrible ideas and tried to be the boss. Eventually he was pushed to the side and was just a titular campaign chair.

Barceleau has to understand that two things matter in a run-off - field and mail. Barceleau creeps people out, so knocking on doors doesn't help, and he has to let someone else do his mail. Its the same old American flag design no one can read, which is good because the last one he sent out had a typo.

They look like junk mail from a furniture company.

Judging by his wife making a very sharp personal attack in the comment section of the debates on KTSM, I'm expecting this part of the race to get down and dirty. And frankly, you could tell for a long time, going back to my post about demeanor and temperament, that Barceleau has wanted to go after Brown and her past.

Its not a matter of IF he does it, its a matter of WHEN he does it. And he's gonna wait to do it until the last minute and its going to come across as desperate on his part.

It'll be the print version of "Nobody asked you sir!"

If I were Brown, I would stick to doing what I'm doing but jumping at any chance to get into a debate with this guy and step on the gas when she does. Turn up the heat a little on Barceleau and watch his anger take over and he will blow up again.

Brown has to focus north of the freeway. She won the valley portion of the district but the area north of the freeway in the Hanks and Eastwood areas of the district she won but by margins that could be dangerous for her if she doesn't go and win a few of them by bigger margins. I'd work his own precinct just to make him play defense in his own back yard too.

You'll Have to Forgive David K...

But he's a huge hypocrite.

David K wrote another piece about me and Susie Byrd.

I get sick of David K implying shit about me - but I get really bothered by it when he's being a massive hypocrite.

I'll get to me in a minute, but lets talk about his comments about Susie Byrd. David K won't admit this in his blog, but he couldn't be more far up Jim's ass if he were a free steak dinner at Ruth's Chris.

So he gets mad when anyone is opposed to Jimbo. He blames Tolbert being in a run-off on Susie Byrd. He says its because she's a campaign goddess and that the Times does her bidding. Why does he say that?

Because David is a crazy. He hath become that what he dreadeth.

First of all, Susie had four Girls Night Out candidates or whatever that PAC is that she runs. Alexsandra Annello, Cassandra Brown, Diana Ramos, and Leila Melendez.

Ramos and Melendez lost and didn't make run-off elections. And hate to pull the rug out of your conspiracy theories there David, but Susie and I were actually head-to-head in that school board race. My guy beat her candidate.

And to blow another hole in DK's little tin foil hat...the Times didn't endorse her candidate in the D4 race. They mentioned two candidates, gave the endorsement to Haggerty and didn't mention her candidate.

So much for control of the Times.

Susie is batting .500 in this election cycle.

David K refuses to admit that the investigation is an issue for voters. Apparently the results of the election don't matter to David, but facts should at least register with the guy. They do matter and you'd know that if you weren't trying to blog about a town you don't live in. DK has become completely detached.

But I will admit that David K at least understands that Byrd doesn't support Tolbert anymore. That is yet another self-inflicted wound that can be added to Steak-gate, Asshole-gate, and Meeting-gate that David will somehow find a way to blame Susie or me for.

And where the hell DK gets his idea that I'm critical of Tolbert because I didn't run his campaign would be funny if it weren't so damn stupid. First of all, I was critical of Tolbert since the start of Steak-gate, which was a really long time ago. Way before all of his other problems. Second of all Chris Hernandez is running his campaign.

I get really sick of David K implying shit on his blog when he's a massive hypocrite. David K writes stuff for the financial benefit of his family business - and then has the nerve to point at other people.

Come on David, everyone knows that is why you write what you write and that you are in the tank for your buddy  Jim Tolbert. I have friends that are politicos too and sometimes they are candidates. You know what the difference is, I have the balls to be critical of them if I think they deserve it and you don't.

So while you're pointing the finger at me - just realize that your boy Jim Tolbert made a picture of your mom and daddy with him as his Facebook cover photo. Seriously, stop being such a massive hypocrite.

Tuesday, May 9, 2017

Temperament & The Run-Off

Now that we are in the run-off I'm interested in seeing how all the candidates that are left deal with the issue of temperament. Normally that is a phrase I only use when speaking about judicial candidates but of the municipal candidates, there is at least one candidate in each race that has issues with temperament.

When you consider the behavior of city council over the last couple of years you'll understand why they are often referred to as dysfunctional. People like Niland, Limon, Noe, and Tolbert haven't helped fix that image much. All the fighting has been bad for the city.

So I think the temperament of the candidates is going to be something voters consider when it comes to the run-off vote. I don't think voters are going to want to send people to council that are drama queens or have issues with their anger.

Lets take a look at the guys with a problem controlling their anger or temperament.

David Saucedo - His volume is always at a 10. He's always angry and it can't figure out why. In addition to his age, bad experience with money, and inability to keep a story straight, its gonna be hard to see how voters look past his presentation. Also, he should've cut that greasy hair and lost the beard a long time ago. Gotta look like a mayor if you want people to envision you as one.

Jim Tolbert - Tolbert is the poster boy of emotional candidates. Jim has two speeds - really nice and really fucking angry. All of his self-inflicted wounds have to do with him losing his temper and that is bad on council.

Steakgate - anger. Jim was mad that he didn't get invited for free steak. Probably the most juvenile thing he has been mad about.

Quorumgate - Tolbert expressed being pissed about other players being in the now-infamous meeting when he felt like he did more than others that were included.

Assholegate - The most obvious example of Tolbert losing his temper. How is D2 at all benefited by the emotional outbursts and anger?

Jaime Barceleau - He's used to be in charge and not used to working within the confines of a body that questions him because he's been the boss, or in the Army, for most of his career. How can that guy even begin to be a constructive member of a legislative body that a will have some tough conversations coming their way? Just look how he reacts to the slightest bit of criticism:

I know, I know, you guys think I just look for excuses to post this video again.

And you're right, I do. But it does underscore my point about his lack of ability to control his temper. Look how he reacts to a member of the public. What happens when there are difficult and perhaps confrontational conversations at council? Is that demeanor going to benefit District 3?

Sam Morgan - I don't know what got into Sam in this election cycle but he's almost a different guy. There has been an edge to him from day one that seemed like it was annoyance at having to campaign against other people for a seat he perceives rightfully belongs to him. It was so notable I actually asked him about his tone after one of the first debates. In that debate he went after Diana Ramos in a really harsh tone. He came across as angry that she was running for the seat.

And then there's the interview with the El Paso Times when they called him and asked him about his campaign finance report appearing to show that he had paid his business rent with campaign money. He hung up on the reporter when they asked him questions about the situation. Well what is he gonna do on behalf of constituents of District 4 in the northeast if he gets a tough question he doesn't like? What does he do if the question comes on the dais and not on the phone where he can hang-up?

These candidates probably want to avoid a candidate forum because now that the races are down to two candidates, how they comport themselves, especially now that the stakes are higher, is going to come out.

Election Analysis: D2

Saturday night's results showed us that the Texas Rangers investigation matters to voters and that judging by Jud Burgess' absolutely terrible performance, that you still can't campaign via Facebook and hope to win.

Incumbent City Rep Jim Tolbert is in a world of trouble and baring some kind of miracle, is going to lose his seat that he won just a short time ago.

Rep Tolbert has taken a huge nosedive in popularity within a very short period of time and it was all self-inflicted wounds. Steakgate, Assholegate, the Texas Ranger investigation - all of those mistakes were avoidable and now you end up with an incumbent in a run-off.

Incumbents in run-off elections lose. Only one - District Attorney Jaime Esparza was able to overcome that trend but he didn't have anywhere near the problems Tolbert is facing. Tolbert not only ended up in a run-off, he went in to the runoff behind. That doesn't matter much - but it does when you're the incumbent.

Annello I don't think even expected to be ahead. If you saw her doing election night coverage, it was from her living room. She wasn't at a party or celebration or anything like that. She was at her place.

In any other election a transplant from the Northeast part of the country with almost no local voting history and very little time in the area loses and loses big. But that is how much of a rejection it has been of Tolbert.

And Tolbert even sent out a piece of negative mail. Granted it was a weird and creepy piece of mail, but it was a negative piece nonetheless. To my knowledge Tolbert wasn't even hit by any of the candidates in the campaign - although I'd expect that to change now that Annello made a run-off and will likely get some cash flow heading in her direction.

Now is the time Annello needs to drop mail that highlights all the negative shit Tolbert has hanging over his head and that should seal the deal for her.

On election night Tolbert was whining about how he had to deal with so much dirty campaigning, which made me chuckle because no one hit him. If anything, everyone else should be complaining that he had his campaign guy posing as a disinterested party tossing softballs to him and attacking other candidates at a forum until Annello boyfriend called him out on it.

Tolbert should stop the narrative that there is nothing to see here with the Texas Rangers investigation and realize that the investigation is looming over his head and voters don't like it. Especially when he tries to hang his defense on the ethics complaint being dismissed. Voters are smarter than you give them credit for.

As much as some people hate to admit it, the investigation matters to voters and the election night results proved it. Thats why such an inferior candidate like Henry Rivera beat Limon.

First it was Lily Limon and now Tolbert will likely be the second victim of the Texas Rangers investigation.

Monday, May 8, 2017

"Data-driven" & Other Saucedo Lies

Saucedo referred to his campaign on election night as "data-driven" and I almost spit out the water I was drinking.

The Saucedo campaign has been modeled after the Trump campaign for those of you who haven't noticed the blatantly obvious. But they are also the biggest producer of fake news of the election cycle.

More on that when I hand out sprinkles later.

There is a saccharine quality about Saucedo that is completely undeniable. He's about as authentic as NFL merchandise at the Bronco or a J-Town boob job.

So the rehearsed and fake confidence at his campaign party on election night wasn't a surprise. I expected it.

But let me show you just how "data-driven" that amateur night shit-show of a campaign really is - on May 3 the campaign put out their newsletter and it proudly proclaimed that according to poll data, Saucedo was "officially in a dead heat".

Lol, no you weren't.

When the first early voting numbers came out, Saucedo was down by nearly 25 a crowded a race with record-low turnout!

On what fucking planet is that a dead-heat? Seriously, the people who counted the crowd at Trump's inauguration are blushing!

They were either lying or they don't know shit about data.

Here's what the data REALLY said:

It said Margo whooped his ass.

Here's another one they told...

On Xtra Saucedo was pissed about not getting the endorsement of the El Paso Times and he and his team had some pretty freaking sour grapes about it. Saucedo himself went so far as to call the endorsement of the El Paso Times the "kiss of death".

There's no way to walk that one back.

Also, its completely wrong. All the candidates they endorsed are in the run-off and in good shape - Annello, Haggerty, and Brown.

So aside from the incredibly dumb campaign move of insulting the daily paper of record, and then being wrong about it, he then takes his hypocrisy to a whole other level.

He goes from calling the paper the "kiss of death" to sending a screenshot of the headline and proudly proclaiming "We did it!"

Did what? Came in 20+ points behind your opponent and you have no money left?

Seriously, who writes that shit? Its getting better than Trump's tweets. And by better I mean more detached from reality.

Election Analysis - Mayor's Race

So the "Democratic Stronghold of Texas" will now have a run-off for mayor between two Republicans.

Which is why I'm encouraging everyone to go undervote in the run-off. That means going to show up to the run-off election and casting your ballot without selecting anyone. That sends a message that you want none of the above.

Yes, someone has to, and will win. But a really high undervote sends a strong message, not that the winner of a race with a turn-out far below 10% will have a mandate for anything anyway.

Dee Margo and David Saucedo will face off in the June run-off election and barring some major development, Dee Margo will be the next mayor of El Paso.

And the reason why is because of the District 8 race being held on the same day.

Yet again the westside accounted for a huge number of votes in a citywide election - and they didn't even have a city rep race pushing people out to the polls. They had more votes than areas of town that had a district race to vote for in addition to the mayoral race.

Imagine how much more of an influence the westside is going to be with a city council race to vote for too?

And thats why Margo is likely to win the run-off.

Lets look deeper into the numbers to underscore exactly why.

The easy thing to do is say that Margo hit his ceiling and can't get over the 50%. Completely ridiculous. Margo won even in the valley. The valley doesn't have anywhere near the number of voters in west El Paso, or most areas of town for that matter, but it is always the bluest part of town. The fact that a white guy, known for being a Republican, was able to appeal to voters even in that area of town is a big deal and spells trouble for Saucedo.

If you look at the margin of victory for Margo in those areas its not that big, and Saucedo will likely flip most of them, but the fact that he was even competitive at all in those areas shows that Saucedo can't rely simply on being brown to win. In the area of town where that probably resonates the most, Margo still had the most votes even though voters had other options.

But the biggest reason Saucedo is going to be in trouble is because the margin of victory on the westside for Margo were so huge. That is clearly Margo's stronghold. And that is only going to get bigger and stronger when the westside has a district race to come out for as well.

The eastside and northeast also gave Margo some big margins of victory. Margo has a ton of money he's still sitting on, so Margo is going to have a big advantage reaching voters' mailboxes a few times before the election day that is only a few weeks away.

Saucedo's very narrow path to victory is a field program. His field director will likely get some places to flip, primarily in the valley and its possible that he might even be able to run the table south of I-10.

But he needs more to win. Dee Margo didn't get over 45% by not appealing to Latinos and Democrats. Saucedo's field program needs money to feed that engine. He is going to need a big financial shot in the arm or spend a lot of his own money to pay block walkers to walk almost all daylight hours to have a realistic shot at touching his targets before election day. Dee Margo has a huge advantage in that department.

The other thing that is REALLY going to be harmful to Saucedo is the fact that his field guy won't be 100% focused on his race. That is going to be a disaster. His field guy has three other candidates in run-offs - Jim Tolbert (his former boss), Sam Morgan (who got a donation from his current boss' opponent) and Jaime Barceleau (who had a huge money lead and still came in second to a new-comer with a record).

When you're in a run-off election, where field work is even more important, you need your field program to be 100% focused, especially considering the shortened period of time you have to win over voters. Its hard for one guy to say with a straight face that he's 100% focused on all four campaigns at once. Especially when all four of his candidates are in trouble in the run-off.

The low voter turnout showed just how much El Pasoans hated the field of candidates.

I'd be remiss if I didn't mention how poorly Acosta performed. Seriously just 6 of 171 precincts for a two-term city rep that was the only Hispanic female and Democrat in a race featuring two Republicans? GTFOH! She should've been MUCH higher than that.

And she lost almost every single precinct that she represented on city council.

I also though Jaime O. Perez and Elisa Morales under performed as well. Jaime O has been on the ballot so many times that it might match the amount of times you see "City of El Paso" on the ballot. You'd think at some point he'd break single digits. Hell he almost didn't get a single digit this time. Morales just barely edged out Willie Cager who pretty much had no campaign activity whatsoever.

My last point here - and I'm going to analysis on each of the races individually - is that there were two things that stood out about Saturday night's results. One - the arena appeared to be a complete non-factor to voters and two - the investigation by the Texas Rangers appears to have been a big factor.

Everyone touched by that investigation will be gone soon, except City Rep Peter Svarzbein. He'll be the last one of them left on the dais after the run-off.

Sorry, Not Sorry.

If you know anything about YISD, you know why the defeat of Ana Dueñez was a good thing for The District.

Her last meeting is this week and should be the stuff of legend.

Saturday, May 6, 2017

Where to Watch Election Night Numbers & Analysis

Okay, there are a bajillion other things to do tonight, I get it.

But I know there are a lot of you that will want to find out what is happening in the local elections. So if you're watching the fight or out and about, you can actually take this with you and stream it from your phone.

KTSM is doing election night coverage on their Facebook Live feed. So check it out.

Never know who might show up!



EL PASO, TEXAS (May 6, 2017) – KTSM-TV, a Nexstar Media Group Station and NBC affiliate servicing the El Paso, TX., Las Cruces, NM DMA (#92) announced Monday that it will provide a Facebook Live stream and an early edition of its late-night news to cover the city’s general election. 

KTSM-TV/El Paso Proud Facebook Live Coverage will stream at the top of the hour, every hour starting at 7 p.m-7:30 p.m, 8 p.m.-8:30 p.m, 9p.m-9:30 p.m, and 10p.m-10:30p.m on Saturday, May 6th. The Facebook Live stream will feature News Anchors Don Guevara, Faran Fronczak, special in-studio guests and our full team of reporters live on location.

NewsChannel9 News Broadcast at 9 p.m-9:30 p.m will carry live coverage from the election headquarters and watch parties of mayoral candidates as well as city representative candidates. News Anchors Don Guevara and Faran Fronczak will be joined by special guests in-studio and our team of reporters live on location. 

“Our combined on-air and online coverage is a winning combination for the on-the-go viewer,” said Elizabeth O’Hara, KTSM news director. “We know there are many activities on a Saturday night but our viewers have also shown they are engaged, they are monitoring the issues and they depend on us to provide them coverage no matter where they are.  Our Facebook Live is going to give them what they want where they want it.”  

About KTSM-NewsChannel9
KTSM (NBC) is a leading diversified media station that leverages localism to bring news services and value to consumers and advertisers through its traditional media, digital and mobile media platforms both in English and Spanish.  KTSM’s portfolio includes four stations: digital 9.1 NBC, digital 9.2 Estrella-TV, digital 9.3 Escape TV, and digital 9.4 LAFF TV.  KTSM’s community portal, the app, and social media platforms Facebook and Instagram offer additional hyper-local content and verticals for consumers and advertisers, allowing audiences to choose where, when and how they access content while creating new revenue opportunities.  For more information please visit  

Elizabeth O’Hara
News Director

Aaron Lopez
Marketing and Promotions Manager


Friday, May 5, 2017

Just When I Was Defending Dora...

I should've known better than to defend her after all the dirty campaign stunts she's pulled over the years. So that's my bad.

After seeing the television coverage of the call and finding out that Dora was pitching the story to media and wanting to be interviewed it made me realize something important.

I wouldn't put it past Dora to have sent the call herself in order to manufacture coverage and controversy.

When I watched her speak on camera about not engaging in dirty campaign tactics on the very same day a really negative piece of mail landed against Rep Limon is when it clicked. Limon hasn't sent out negative material. I think she should have, but it's not her thing. So it's highly unlikely that it came from her campaign.

Acosta's comments seem all too convenient and rehearsed.

Dora on the other hand has refined dirty campaigning to nuclear-grade capacity. I'm not saying she did it, but I'm not saying she wouldn't be above that either.

Thursday, May 4, 2017

The Dirtiest Campaign Move I've Ever Seen...

I've campaigned a lot in El Paso and have covered local elections for a decade. I've block walked every neighborhood in the county from colonias in the far edges in the county, to the Willows on the westside, from Segundo Barrio, to the furthest edges of precinct 50 in the northeast, from Vinton to Tornillo.

So I've seen a lot of crazy campaign stuff in my day. From the silly to the downright dirty.

And since most of my campaign activities have been in the valley, I've seen lots of dirty shit in a campaign. And to be honest, most of the dirty shit I've seen happen in campaigns had something to do with Dora Oaxaca.


Yesterday I heard the dirtiest campaign robo-call I've ever heard. And just how bad was it?

It was so bad, it now has me defending Dora Oaxaca.

Yes, Dora is usually the architect of dirty whisper campaigns and lots of other stuff that she has refined to nuclear-grade capacity over the years, but this was especially awful, below the belt, and mean-spirited.

I've been struggling for about the last 24 hours on whether or not to even publish it because it was so ugly. I have finally decided that publishing it so that people can hear for themselves the kind of dirty things that happen in campaigns was the only way to public shame whoever did this.

This robocall is a major violation.

It never says who its from but unleashes a personal attack on Oaxaca that attacks a physical ailment she has. Its completely below the belt and while Yours Truly frequently talks about her connections to Emma Acosta, her new husband, and the Gandara family, making a robocall that is anonymous and attacks how she looks is wrong, shameful, ineffective, and disgusts me.

This is more than just dirty pool, this is flat-out mean spirited.

Now the point of finance reports is so that you can see who is spending money and what it is being spent on in campaigns.

This stunt is dark money. Somewhere, someone spent money to make this robocall happen.

And I have a theory about who it is. But first, heres the call.

I told you, its ugly.

So here's the back story of how I got the call. The call was sent to the office of a government official in the Lower Valley. So whoever sent that call, again the source is never identified, sent it to voters in District 7 and made sure that the elected official's office number was included in the universe.

The first thing you'd think of is Limón right? Well if it was her, why would she bother including Emma Acosta in the attack? If it was only going to Lower Valley residents that are in District 7, why would she need to include an attach on Acosta?

So I flat out asked her about it and she was emphatic that it didn't come from her camp. Limon has been the victim of a pretty harsh attack from Oaxaca herself. It would be a dangerous thing for her to lie about and I don't feel like she'd lie about something that could eventually come back to haunt her.

Its ineffective because while yes, we in the Lower Valley are known for throwing a few elbows here and there, not enough people have context of Dora Oaxaca, Emma Acosta, Henry Rivera, or the Gandara family.

Personally I think it was meant to look like her to benefit another candidate. And who benefits most from every vote Acosta doesn't get?

Oh, that elected official did actually get one other robocall to their office this election cycle.

Just one. And it was a mayoral campaign.

Guess what campaign coincidentally sent a robocall to the elected officials office number that wouldn't be on any voter roster?

I'm not saying that mayoral candidate that stands to benefit from every vote Acosta doesn't get in order to make it in to a run-off did it, I'm just saying its some amateur night bullshit and one hell of a coincidence.

EPCC Trustee Candidate's Endorsement Woes

Joshua Carter, longtime staffer of State Representative Mary Gonzalez is a candidate for the El Paso Community College Board of Trustees, has some problems with endorsements.

Carter is claiming an endorsement he doesn't have and has been asked to remove the logo of an organization who is actually endorsing his opponent, but he hasn't done so yet.

At issue is several pieces of campaign advertisement in which Carter is using that features the logo of the Ysleta Teachers Association, like this example here:

The problem is that the Ysleta Teachers Association never endorsed Carter and is actually endorsing Carter's opponent.

Despite having been asked to remove the logo and to stop saying he is endorsed by the organization, which is the 5th largest teacher's association in the State of Texas, he has continued to use it as of the time of this posting on his social media.

Although its not really that surprising that Carter would roll the dice and continue to use a logo of an organization that is endorsing his opponent if he's the sort of guy that thinks its a good idea to run for a government position and brag about being endorsed by a Gandara.

Yes, that is real. No, I am not making it up. Someone actually told him it was a good idea. Or he thought it was, which really makes him unqualified.

Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Elisa Morales...Otra Con "Trustworthiness"

I was going through my YouTube channel and I noticed that I forgot to publish the videos of Elisa Morales and Dee Margo at the Tejano Democrats endorsement event.

So I clicked on it and watched it. I'll be honest, when she spoke I wasn't paying attention and as you can see in the video, not too many people in attendance were either. But now that I know her voting history. I'm glad I went back and watched it.

First, because I think it would be a fun drinking game to take a shot every time she uses the term "federal level" in her speeches. Second, because she keeps referring to this "fire in her belly".

Thats just shitty Mexican food from her hometown of San Antonio.

Anywho...I wrote about Jaime Barceleau talking about how he can be trustworthy and then lied about his job title earlier today - and Elisa Morales has sorta slid under the radar for being a Republican basically from the start.

She didn't lie when she was at the Tejano Democrats event. She actually mentions her association with Republicans in her speech, but no one was paying attention and it just slid under the radar.

I just thought it was interesting that she and Dee Margo had the nerve to go to a Democratic Party event and asked for their endorsement knowing they had a Republican voting record. The difference is that everyone knew Margo was a Republican.

Morales didn't tell anyone she was a Republican. She didn't hide it, but she damn sure didn't mention it. Which is why I thought it was weird that she used the word "trustworthiness" right away when she didn't fully disclose her Republican voting record.

She's never voted in a Democratic primary.


Barceleau on Dee's Nuts

Barceleau has been doing things in order to get himself attention for the last year leading up to his run for city council.

It started with his bid to become an officer in the Democratic Party, a precinct chair. Clearly he wasn't running because he takes the job seriously, he was running so he could have some sort of starting point for his bid to be city rep.

Then he became the PAC chair for the EPISD bond. I've talked to sources within the campaign for the bond who have indicated that the PAC immediately regretted having Barceleau as the chair because a) he didn't know what he was doing and b) he was very clearly using the position to fluff his resume.

Speaking of fluffing the resume - Jaime Barceleau is either lying or doesn't know his own job. First, as a veteran it annoys the shit out of me that he uses the National Defense Medal on his campaign signs. He is what we used to call in the Army, a PX hero. My fellow vets know what that means, so yeah he's that guy. But for those of you out there that don't understand that sentiment, just know that he's using that medal for political purposes. But back to fluffing his resume, Jaime has campaign literature that says something very interesting.

It says leadership you can trust. I've told you all that Jaime Barceleau is the last guy in the world that should be using the word "trust" and I'll drop that bombshell soon. But when you tell people you're someone you can trust - you shouldn't lie on the same document you are telling people that you can be trusted.

Jaime Barceleau was Executive Director of the last non-profit he worked at. And from all accounts, he was a damn good one.

But you know what he wasn't?

A damn CEO.

But Jaime Barceleau's campaign material, the very same one that he proudly proclaims "Leadership you can trust" says he was a CEO when in fact, he was never a CEO - he was an executive director. They are vastly different positions and anyone who knows anything about business or non-profits knows there is a big difference.

Oh, whats that? You don't believe me that a candidate would so blatantly lie on campaign material because it would be too easy to show that he's full of shit?

Well I'm glad you mentioned that...its not the best quality, but I'll get my hands on a better one soon, but see for yourself.

Only in El Paso does someone have the balls to put the phrase "leadership you can trust" and then lie about his job on the same piece of campaign lit.

Sorry, got off on a tangent. Back to Dee's nuts.

From early on in the campaign, Barceleau has been a Dee Margo supporter. He put his sign in his yard, which was not received very well by people in the Democratic Party.

Then he proudly expressed his support for Margo at a campaign forum event. Dee Margo has contributed to his campaign.

And now according to the last campaign finance reports, Dee Margo apparently has received a contribution from Jaime Barceleau.

I don't know why, but Barceleau just loves being on Dee's nuts.