Monday, April 3, 2017
Sorry to Rain on the Beto Parade...
Let me preface by saying I will vote for Beto or whichever Castro it is that is running over the Canadian in the Senate every day of the week and twice on Sunday. I can't stand Cruz and think he's bad for Texas.
But whoever wins the primary, is going to lose the general to Cruz. Sorry, but the numbers aren't there.
Beto and whichever Castro brother it is that is going to run are both on a Quixotic adventure. There is no data that shows Cruz is vulnerable.
The election cycle they are going to take on Cruz is a gubernatorial cycle. That means Republican turnout is even higher. Both Democratic candidates have to figure out a way that they can flip that script and frankly I don't see how either of them can do it.
I'll vote for either of them, but lets be real - there's no evidence that either of them can beat Cruz. Frankly I think both of them have a future but the one that loses to Cruz is gonna be done and the other will live to fight another day.
The biggest impact is how this completely reshuffles the deck in terms of local politics. Former Mayor John Cook, who has been itching to run for something, has already announced his intentions to run for County Judge. All kinds of people will be moving around now. Let the bloodshed begin! (More on this particular topic later)
The really stupid argument is going to be in the Primary. People who still haven't gotten over the Reyes loss are going to be Team Castro and trash Beto with the same old stuff. You can spot these people right away because they are the ones that will call Beto Robert because they are offended that a rich white guy uses a Spanish nickname that was given to him by the maid.
Which is a funny thing to be mad about because the Castro's don't speak Spanish.
Also, all of you with a Spanish first name that use an English nickname or shortened form that are pissed at the use of Beto, should stop using it and use you're Spanish name. You know, like Silver.
The names don't matter to me, I want to see who is the better debater. I want to see who has the better policy proposals and who will better represent the border in the Senate because Cruz most certainly doesn't. IF that is what the Primary is going to be about, then I'm excited.
If its going to be about names and who speaks Spanish, then Beto wins because he the white guy and he speaks better Spanish than Cruz and Castro...
Posted by The Lion Star at 9:41 AM