Wednesday, June 21, 2017

The Escobar Resignation

County Judge Veronica Escobar has stated that she's not running for reelection. So no reason to be coy about it, people only do that when they have a reason to, and in her case we all know what that reason is - to run for congress.

There's plenty of talk about who is going to run to replace her but no one has really talked about the ramifications of her impending resignation so lets lay it out there.

First of all, when she resigns it will be a decision of the entire court as to who her successor will be. No matter who that person may be, they will need 3 out of 4 votes of the remaining court. So it will be very difficult for Judge Escobar to really line someone up to replace her - so David K should probably not throw around Susie Byrd as a viable option just yet.

But think about what that really means to the Court. Generally they don't pick someone with aspirations to run for the office, although there is nothing that legally prohibits it. There are at least two members of the court that are interested in being the next County Judge - Commissioner Stout and Commissioner Leon.

Its hard to see how either of them would get the necessary votes. But lets say it happened. Lets say the court picked one of the two to be the interim county judge. At that time, Escobar would no longer be County Judge. There would be no "hold-over" period. And at that point, the new County Judge would effectively be able to pick their own successor because members of the court that are not the County Judge are replaced by the County Judge.

Or...

Another scenario could be that Stout or Leon would resign BEFORE the County Judge to run for the seat she's vacating. Then Escobar would be able to appoint their replacement. So in the case of someone like Stout, maybe a Susie Byrd pick to replace Stout wouldn't be out of the question. This scenario is as likely as any other at this point, if not more so.

Or the Court could choose to pick someone from outside the Court to be the interim County Judge. Talk about an interesting development there...

Because anyone they pick, assuming Escobar calls it quits in July or August like I assume she will, will automatically be a contender for the County Judge seat because the Court can't prohibit that person from running. Essentially that would mean that Leon and Stout would be picking someone that could potentially be better situated to defeat either of them in the primary.

And seriously, who the hell could they pick from the outside that could get 3/4 votes anyway? Maybe a former commissioner or former county judge? I can't really think of anyone else that doesn't come with a whole mess of problems.

Or...

And what I think is more likely, the Court just operate as a 4 -person body (in which case the hold-over clause would kick in) and they just wait until mid December when the filing deadline passes to appoint an interim County Judge. Right now that person would serve more than a year and a half before turning over the reins to the winner of the Democratic Primary.

At any rate, Escobar is going to be leaving one chingo of a mess for them to figure out when she leaves.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Leon and Stout don't have a chance to win the judgeship. Their records are insignificant, nothing that would indicate they are qualified.

Especially Stout, his agenda is transparent. He has done nothing except advocate for Juarez and the uninvited. Nothing for El Paso county residents. That in itself is an indication Escobar would favor him. Simply, same agenda ! Plus his loyal service as her valet and errand boy.

Leon will, if he moved most people would freak and run out of the commissioners court. His record, no significant accomplishment. He is a safe guy, no rocking of the system.

I would say the next Judge will be an outsider. Unless a good candidate pops up, we're screwed for congress. Her arrogance pales next to Ascota. Management and leadership skills are nil.

My two cents. Nothing personal just stating what most think but won't say.

Anonymous said...

I hope "?" gets the job.

Anonymous said...

If Judge Escobar continues to make Dori Fennenbock look bad in the public, Judge Escobar doesn't have to resign to run. If Judge Escboar announces her campaign for Congress after December 1, 2017, she can remain in office while running for the Congressional seat. So the chances of her resigning are unknown - she may feel strong enough as a candidate to wait and announce her run later, allowing her to remain as County Judge while campaigning.